
Money Update. READ this important financial update! 9 13 2013
Will war be on the menu again?
Marc’s Notes:
The long awaited Twitter IPO is coming. It will be a few months but investors will soon be able to invest in the world’s most noisy bird and public media source. No doubt Mom and Pops everywhere will scramble to get a piece of the action. Wall Street has a pretty good record in extracting its pound of flesh from Ma and Pa on these super hyped up stock offerings.
Only favored Wall Street firms and high rolling investors will get the initial stock offering and most likely make oodles of money on the day it comes out. Mom and pop however will be left to fight over the scraps in the melee of the first few days in the public markets and I’m sure price action will be fast and furious.
The stock is said to be valued around 10 billion and not since Facebook has there been such a high profile offering.
I myself did not buy Facebook and in fact warned investors not to weeks before it came out. I simply cannot recommend a stock with such obvious attention from all and know when mom and pop are scrambling to buy, the insiders on Wall Street are scrambling to sell.
Facebook of course flopped miserably and although I have no idea what Twitter will do when it is priced up and finally hits the market, my general take on these types of stock offerings is to stay well away. The old saying on Wall Street is to sell when everyone is buying and buy when everyone is selling. You get a better price that way and when Twitter comes public, I suspect everybody (and some) will be on the buy side of the equation.
Fall will soon be upon us and I look forward to the leaves falling and creating a colorful mosaic around us. The markets may also fall to as they often do this time of year. Many market moving events are scheduled to either take place or be up for discussion.
Syria is a hot topic and any news there could move not only the oil markets but the markets in general. The sequester cuts are ongoing and they will mesh with the budget ceiling debate as we reach another deadline soon. The US will not default of course but the posturing by you know who (again) will be sickening to watch (again).
I suspect another bout of wrangling and in the end another can kick with another temporary patch. Nothing will be resolved. The US has a date with destiny. A currency crisis awaits because no one has the political will to address our fiscal woes. Doing so would spell political suicide so economic suicide by monetary excess will be the way we go. We won’t stop until we are forced to.
Obama is rumored to appoint Larry Summers to replace retiring Fed Chief Ben Bernanke. My recent news piece on Summers details his resume. He is a Washington boomerang and has been around for decades. Whether Summers is confirmed or not or someone else takes the post, little will change when it comes to Fed policy. The US is addicted to Federal Reserve money printing and any cut back will cause the economy and the markets to tailspin. If the routs intensify, the Feds will be back at the money machines turning the screws and once again shower the world with more paper confetti called US greenbacks.
Speaking of cutbacks, the tapering of the Feds money printing programs is also on the schedule. From 85 billion dollars a month to something less so they say. Again I reiterate I highly doubt the economy nor the markets can tolerate any reduction of meaning. We are simply too fragile. Just the mention of tapering sent the markets into a free fall a few months back. I have always said “it won’t be enough” meaning no amount of printing can go on forever and it will never be enough to solve our problems. The issue is too much debt and each dollar they create adds to that figure. You cannot solve a debt problem by creating more debt.
As for now, sit tight and watch the fall fireworks. With Washington returning from vacation and so much to discuss, I guarantee the markets are going to start to get real volatile very soon.
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