Newsletters - Past Issues

Another shutdown? Update Jan 9 2021

 

We are closing the shop again!

 

Never in the decades of following economics and the markets have I witnessed such man-made damage foisted onto the world’s economies such as is occurring now. With a second complete economic shutdown now initiated in my home state of California due to spiking CoVid cases, the expected fall out on American businesses is no doubt going to be even more catastrophic.

I say man-made damage because although the CoVid virus itself is an organic culprit, the decision to shut down is one of man.

My initial forecast in March of this year was that somewhere around 25% of small businesses would be obliterated by the initial shutdowns.

This second round will certainly increase that estimate by an unknown degree. From an economic standpoint, the shutdown is unprecedented. We have never had an instance where almost all business everywhere was either severely restricted or outright shuttered completely.

The pushback from business owners is more pronounced this time around. Those business owners that have somehow survived the first prolonged shutdown now stand in disbelief as they are once again asked to close their doors and turn away much needed revenue from would-be paying customers.

The debate on whether shutdowns were the appropriate response to CoVid is increasing as more and more businesses go under. The initial shutdown was never imagined to last as long as it did, and just when the country began to reopen, giving some hope to the surviving businesses, the winter season brings once again more restrictions. Adding insult to injury, it is the Christmas season that brings many businesses the majority of their annual revenue.At this point, the debate of whether the cure is worse than the disease is being voiced by more than a few. Some argue CoVid would bring about more personal devastation in the form of death and disease should this second shutdown not be initiated. Others insist that to shut down again would cause massive personal and economic damage which will far outweigh the misery the virus would ever cause on its own.The argument is not exclusively centered around the cold reality of death versus dollars however. In an article posted in the Washington Post on Sept. 24, 2020 entitled “The pandemic pushes hundreds of millions of people toward starvation and poverty”, it states: “David Beasley, the executive director of the U.N.’s World Food Program, warned during a Sept. 18 briefing that a “wave of hunger and famine still threatens to sweep across the globe.  He said his organization needed close to $5 billion to prevent 30 million people from dying of starvation”.Adding to the argument is the fact that domestic violence (https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/06/world/coronavirus-domestic-violence.html9), suicide (https://www.healio.com/psychiatry/journals/psycann/2020-12-50-12/%7B60567d09-854d-4092-b3fe-11d040f2c92c%7D/the-increase-in-suicide-during-the-covid-19-pandemic) and mental issues (https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20200813/levels-of-anxiety-addiction-suicidal-thoughts-are-soaring-in-the-pandemic#1) presumed to be brought about by isolation are on the rise.With the belief by some that the new restrictions are necessary to contain the worst outbreak since CoVid’s inception, still others are questioning whether shutting down the economy has accomplished its goal of slowing the spread at all. If not, is another shutdown just one bad decision followed by yet another?Many claim the reason for the failure is not everyone followed mask and distancing mandates. Still others say mandates will never be followed by everyone, that the first shutdown was the best that could be expected and that a second shutdown is a futile attempt at a failed methodology. This will only cause thousands of more businesses to go under and bring about another round of unnecessary human suffering.If there is any good news in all of this, it is that the Pfizer vaccine has been approved and is on its way to distributions centers, with some people already getting vaccinated. It will be months however before the majority of Americans will have access to it while some say they will refuse to take it no matter what.No matter what side of the argument one believes, the fact is that the economic damage and the amount of human suffering is beyond any comparisons.That said, there may be some good news on the horizon for those thinking of starting a business. Despite the notion that the idea of hatching a new endeavor at this time seems farfetched in the face of such a stark business environment, I’ll touch on this unexpected suggestion next week.

 

Opinions expressed here are those of Mr. Cuniberti and not those of any bank or investment advisory firm. Nothing stated is meant to insure a guarantee, or to be construed as investment advice. Neither Money Management Radio (“Money Matters”) receive, control, access or monitor client funds, accounts, or portfolios. For a list of the services offered by Mr. Cuniberti, call (530)559-1214. California Insurance License #0L34249 and Medicare Agent approved.  Insurance services offered independently through Marc Cuniberti and not affiliated with any RIA firm or entity. Email: news@moneymanagementradio.com.

 

 

 

Call me

I can help you navigate the plans

MEDICARE AGENT

(530) 559 1214

 


 

Update December 5 2020

 

Hello Money Matters fans,

 

The resilience of Americans continues to astound me.

With the wicked arrival of CoVid-19, the market plunged from a February all-time high (Dow Jones Industrial Average- DOW) to a 38% correction in a mere three weeks.

From there, it seemed as if the CoVid event turned from imminent threat into a golden opportunity for the nimble investor. While main street reeled in a seemingly unending economic death spiral, Wall Street looked upon the threat through rose colored glasses. Investors in the right place saw their carefully selected stocks rocket upwards. Although the initial rally encompassed only a few sectors, as the months ticked by, more and more sectors caught the rally bug. Fast forward to today and it’s hard to find a stock that hasn’t blasted upwards in stunning fashion.

Indeed, the optimism, at least for some investors, is palatable.

Main Street occupants weren’t so giddy. With ongoing shutdowns and various occupancy restrictions, and only one round of stimulus, many small business owners reeled under bleeding balance sheets brought on by butt-less seats and empty store aisles.

And although the shutdowns have gone on much longer than anyone anticipated, consumers, at least some of them, exhibit an attitude than can be described in no other terms than die-hard.

Initially held at home from the lockdowns, about halfway through the calamity, necessity become the mother of invention.

Some restaurants initiated drive-through services where they once had none. Municipalities, not wanting to see their business base decimated, eased restrictions and allowed on-street dining and even alcohol to go, which had previously been a strict no-no.

Stores adapted social distancing and the sticker people ramped up on the production of the necessary labels and dots to fill the need. Plastic manufacturers worked overtime to provide the millions of shields and screens, while hand sanitizer initially in short supply, was bottled up in truck loads by the familiar disinfectant companies, joined by inventive liquor producers who cranked out what could only be called as a “Grade F” type of vodka, to fill the need while resurrecting some sort of an income stream.

Car dealers started home delivery, repair shops initiated no-touch, drive through auto services, and meal deliveries kept ride sharing companies at least somewhat busy.

Television execs initiated strict testing guidelines so at least some filming could be restarted and evening hit shows filled their audiences with zoom monitors. Even some sports arenas sat cardboard people in the end zones and filled at least some seats with faux human likenesses.

Heck, even the Macy Thanksgiving Parade took place. It was void of the crowds and human balloon anchors, but they replaced those by enhancing the TV coverage and using robotic float pullers.

A massive undertaking by the pharmaceutical giants of the world all turned their resources in concert towards one goal: Find a vaccine that works and find it as quick as possible.

Indeed, similar to the ramp up of production at the beginning of WW2, in a mere 8 months, the gears of much of our economy had been slammed in reverse by CoVid-19, only to move forward in stunning fashion as America was forced to shift gears and shift gears it did. Through calamity after calamity, from devastating wildfires, to a wave of deadly hurricanes, and the most contentious election in recent memory, America has risen up and met the challenge. Yes, there will be casualties. There always is in the midst of cataclysmic catastrophes.

But we will survive.

And like the proverb “what doesn’t kill you makes you stronger”, America has learned much, and will immerge on the other end of CoVid-19, victorious.

And be that much better for it.

 

 

Medicare time is upon me and as a licensed insurance agent I can write the policies myself. Although Medicare is part of my continuing education for my life and health certifications from the Department of Insurance, the brief material on Medicare was not enough for me to make an educated selection. I therefore joined up with an insurer who offers the supplements and I am now knee deep in materials.

Many people reach the qualifying age of 65 since I am approaching that age I ask folks what Medicare plans they have selected.

To my surprise, many don’t know what exact Medicare options they have selected. That being said, it makes me wonder why so many people don’t understand what they have.

Either they are not taking adequate time to learn Medicare or whoever they are asking for help from are not explaining the options very well. Whatever the case may be, understanding the basics and what is available is time well spent.

Medicare has gone through many changes. There are the government basic plans offered direct through the government and then the supplemental plans called Medi-Gap and Medi-Advantage.  These fill in the holes not offered by Plans A and B. Different plans and options can address individual situations.

To begin with., all plans are designated by alphabetical letters.

Medicare part A and part B are the government offered coverages and everyone starts with these.

Generally speaking, A is for hospitalization needs and generally covers inpatient hospital stays, skilled nursing care, hospice care, and limited home health-care services.  B is for Doctor needs and helps pay for services from doctors and other health care providers, outpatient care, home health care, durable medical equipment, and some preventive services.  A is free for the most part but can have some payments required such as deductibles. B is not free but dependent on one’s income and like A, can also have required out of pocket expenses.

Then rest of the parts of Medicare you must procure through private insurers.

These insurers, of which there are many, must adhere to certain guidelines set by the government.

These insurers sell plans called “supplemental” plans commonly referred to as Medi-Gap plans. These gap plans cover things that Plans A and B do not. There is also is the hybrid Medicare part C, called Medi-Advantage, which stands alone on how it works.

In simple terms, once you get plans A and B, you either get a supplement plan(s), or Medi-Advantage part C, but not both.

Which plans and options one can choose is also dependent on where one lives.

If it sounds confusing, that’s what I thought. And truth be told, it’s probably why the many folks I talked to didn’t know exactly what it is they bought.

And although the government stipulated plan benefits must be identical no matter what insurer you buy it from, they authorities did not stipulate they all have to offer them to you at the same price. In other words, you could pay more for the exact same plan depending on the insurer you buy it from.

Depending upon how many ills one might have, how often you go to a doctor, how many prescriptions you may have, if you want to keep your current medical providers or not and balancing your monthly premium desires with your out of pocket expenses expectations, this will all lead you in the direction of selecting the best plan for your situation. To select the best and most affordable plan for your situation it will likely require some hours spent in front of the computerAlthough special circumstances will mean automatic enrollment and age exceptions for some, in general, there is an enrollment period that starts 3 months prior to your 65th birthday and ends 3 months after the month of that birthday.

Missing this enrollment period can lead to problems for some so don’t overlook it. You likely won’t have to be reminded as your mailbox will likely start to fill with offer after offer from Medicare providers as you approach your 65th birthday. As always watch for scams and double check everything before you buy as changing plans later can have restrictions. Newbies can start by visiting www.medicare.gov. . Finding a Medicare specialist insurance agent will also help in your final selections. I am a Medicare agent.  Call, lets sort through the confusion. 

 

 

Financial analyst

Income for life

Life insurance

Annuities with principal guarantees

Call me (530)559 1214

 

Why worry?

Solutions await you here

 


 

Medicare Basics update 11 22 2020

Turning 65?

Want to change Gap plans?

Need help navigating Medicare? 

Call me (530) 559-1214

marc cuniberti

 

Medicare time is upon me and as a licensed insurance agent I can write the policies myself. Although Medicare is part of my continuing education for my life and health certifications from the Department of Insurance, the brief material on Medicare was not enough for me to make an educated selection. I therefore joined up with an insurer who offers the supplements and I am now knee deep in materials.

Many people reach the qualifying age of 65 since I am approaching that age I ask folks what Medicare plans they have selected.

To my surprise, many don’t know what exact Medicare options they have selected. That being said, it makes me wonder why so many people don’t understand what they have.

Either they are not taking adequate time to learn Medicare or whoever they are asking for help from are not explaining the options very well. Whatever the case may be, understanding the basics and what is available is time well spent.

Medicare has gone through many changes. There are the government basic plans offered direct through the government and then the supplemental plans called Medi-Gap and Medi-Advantage.  These fill in the holes not offered by Plans A and B. Different plans and options can address individual situations.

To begin with., all plans are designated by alphabetical letters.

Medicare part A and part B are the government offered coverages and everyone starts with these.

Generally speaking, A is for hospitalization needs and generally covers inpatient hospital stays, skilled nursing care, hospice care, and limited home health-care services.  B is for Doctor needs and helps pay for services from doctors and other health care providers, outpatient care, home health care, durable medical equipment, and some preventive services.  A is free for the most part but can have some payments required such as deductibles. B is not free but dependent on one’s income and like A, can also have required out of pocket expenses.

Then rest of the parts of Medicare you must procure through private insurers.

These insurers, of which there are many, must adhere to certain guidelines set by the government.

These insurers sell plans called “supplemental” plans commonly referred to as Medi-Gap plans. These gap plans cover things that Plans A and B do not. There is also is the hybrid Medicare part C, called Medi-Advantage, which stands alone on how it works.

In simple terms, once you get plans A and B, you either get a supplement plan(s), or Medi-Advantage part C, but not both.

Which plans and options one can choose is also dependent on where one lives.

If it sounds confusing, that’s what I thought. And truth be told, it’s probably why the many folks I talked to didn’t know exactly what it is they bought.

And although the government stipulated plan benefits must be identical no matter what insurer you buy it from, they authorities did not stipulate they all have to offer them to you at the same price. In other words, you could pay more for the exact same plan depending on the insurer you buy it from.

Depending upon how many ills one might have, how often you go to a doctor, how many prescriptions you may have, if you want to keep your current medical providers or not and balancing your monthly premium desires with your out of pocket expenses expectations, this will all lead you in the direction of selecting the best plan for your situation. To select the best and most affordable plan for your situation it will likely require some hours spent in front of the computerAlthough special circumstances will mean automatic enrollment and age exceptions for some, in general, there is an enrollment period that starts 3 months prior to your 65th birthday and ends 3 months after the month of that birthday.

Missing this enrollment period can lead to problems for some so don’t overlook it. You likely won’t have to be reminded as your mailbox will likely start to fill with offer after offer from Medicare providers as you approach your 65th birthday. As always watch for scams and double check everything before you buy as changing plans later can have restrictions. Newbies can start by visiting www.medicare.gov. . Finding a Medicare specialist insurance agent will also help in your final selections,

This article offers the opinions of Marc Cuniberti only and does not necessarily represent those of any news media, its staff, members or underwriters. Content or statements are not guaranteed. Mr. Cuniberti holds California Insurance License #0L34249. His website is moneymanagementradio.com. He can be reached at (530) 559-1214.

 

 

Financial analyst

Income for life

Life insurance

Annuities with principal guarantees

Call me (530)559 1214

 

Why worry?

Solutions await you here

 


 

Medicare Update Oct 28 2020

Medicare

A plethora of choices

 

Medicare time is upon me and as a licensed insurance agent I understand insurance nuances. Although Medicare is part of my continuing education for my life and health certifications from the Department of Insurance, the brief material on Medicare was not enough for me to make an educated selection. I therefore joined up with an insurer who offers the supplements and I am now knee deep in materials.

Many people reach the qualifying age of 65 since I am approaching that age I ask folks what Medicare plans they have selected.

To my surprise, many don’t know what exact Medicare options they have selected. That being said, it makes me wonder why so many people don’t understand what they have.

Either they are not taking adequate time to learn Medicare or whoever they are asking for help from are not explaining the options very well. Whatever the case may be, understanding the basics and what is available is time well spent.

Medicare has gone through many changes. There are the government basic plans offered direct through the government and then the supplemental plans called Medi-Gap and Medi-Advantage.  These fill in the holes not offered by Plans A and B. Different plans and options can address individual situations.

To begin with., all plans are designated by alphabetical letters.

Medicare part A and part B are the government offered coverages and everyone starts with these.

Generally speaking, A is for hospitalization needs and generally covers inpatient hospital stays, skilled nursing care, hospice care, and limited home health-care services.  B is for Doctor needs and helps pay for services from doctors and other health care providers, outpatient care, home health care, durable medical equipment, and some preventive services.  A is free for the most part but can have some payments required such as deductibles. B is not free but dependent on one’s income and like A, can also have required out of pocket expenses.

Then rest of the parts of Medicare you must procure through private insurers.

These insurers, of which there are many, must adhere to certain guidelines set by the government.

These insurers sell plans called “supplemental” plans commonly referred to as Medi-Gap plans. These gap plans cover things that Plans A and B do not. There is also is the hybrid Medicare part C, called Medi-Advantage, which stands alone on how it works.

In simple terms, once you get plans A and B, you either get a supplement plan(s), or Medi-Advantage part C, but not both.

Which plans and options one can choose is also dependent on where one lives.

If it sounds confusing, that’s what I thought. And truth be told, it’s probably why the many folks I talked to didn’t know exactly what it is they bought.

And although the government stipulated plan benefits must be identical no matter what insurer you buy it from, they authorities did not stipulate they all have to offer them to you at the same price. In other words, you could pay more for the exact same plan depending on the insurer you buy it from.

Depending upon how many ills one might have, how often you go to a doctor, how many prescriptions you may have, if you want to keep your current medical providers or not and balancing your monthly premium desires with your out of pocket expenses expectations, this will all lead you in the direction of selecting the best plan for your situation. To select the best and most affordable plan for your situation, likely require some hours spent in front of the computer. Finding a Medicare specialist insurance agent will also help in your final determination.


Although special circumstances will mean automatic enrollment and age exceptions for some, in general, there is an enrollment period that starts 3 months prior to your 65th birthday and ends 3 months after the month of that birthday.

Missing this enrollment period can lead to problems for some so don’t overlook it. You likely won’t have to be reminded as your mailbox will likely start to fill with offer after offer from Medicare providers as you approach your 65th birthday. As always watch for scams and double check everything before you buy as changing plans later can have restrictions. Newbies can start by visiting www.medicare.gov.

 

This article offers the opinions of Marc Cuniberti only and does not necessarily represent those of any news media, its staff, members or underwriters. Content or statements are not guaranteed. Mr. Cuniberti holds California Insurance License #0L34249. His website is moneymanagementradio.com. He can be reached at (530) 559-1214.


 

Market Predictions November 2, 2020

 

My short term prediction

UP!

 

Although many people assume the stock markets will react the actual day of an event, in actuality the markets are said to look ahead up to six months or more.

For example, the CoVid-19 event has been a good example of how markets anticipate things way of ahead of time.

The first three weeks of March witnessed a brutal sell off in the markets. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DOW/DJIA) dropping about 38% from an all-time high of 29,500 and change in a mere 21 days or so to the low 18,000’s.

From then on, the indexes turned up and plowed almost relentlessly higher, despite the fact that the world was just in the beginning stages of this now 8-month long event, and it’s not over yet.

That being said, what was it that persuaded investors to continually buy stocks from that third week in March, driving the Dow close to its previous high in the months that followed?

Even without a definitive end to the CoVid event, investors bought up stocks in this almost unbelievable and monumental rally.

Keeping in mind the event is still not over and no one can say when it will end, the markets rebound is indeed perplexing to many investors. In reality however, the snap back may have been anticipated.

Investors may have been simply assuming the inevitable: the virus will end at some point.

Whether a vaccine is found or CoVid simply exhausts itself through mutation or herd immunity, it will end.

At that point, the pent up demand from shut-in and stir crazy consumers will likely then pour out into the economy in rapid fashion, causing a similar yet surprising explosion in demand. This may translate to rapid bottom line growth and profits to the businesses that survived the event.

Wall Street loves its comparisons, and the rise in sales, compared to an anemic CoVid shut down economy, will no doubt set some records. This is what Wall Street has visualized since the shutdowns began, and is likely the reason the March sell off panic quickly turned into a buying frenzy. Once the panic subsided, Wall Street looked ahead to the recovery.

With the election upon us, another spot of weakness hit the markets in recent months, with bouts of wicked sell-offs followed by bipolar like rebounds.

The weeks leading up to election day may have been especially damaging to portfolio balances. This could lead however, to another example of the markets looking ahead further than occurrence of a specific event happening on a specific day like election day.

I am of the opinion that the markets latest hissy fit was not so much concern about who will be elected, but the uncertainty of the event itself. Wall Street has pretty much prepared itself for the election of either candidate, knowing it will be either one or the other, and unlike a Bernie Sanders White House, which the markets DID fear, a Biden presidency no longer scares Wall Street much.

After all, the “talk” that is rumored to take place when a new President is sworn in covers nuclear footballs, dead alien invasions, secret bunkers and other clandestine and lurid facts that the public best not be made aware of. Among the discussions will also be what can and cannot be done when it comes to the big money centers of the world, put forth in way that may be much more than mere suggestion.

My conjecture of course.

I predict the current markets nervousness may be like the Gulf War stock markets of Operation Desert Storm. The markets feared the coming war action and sold off in the days and weeks preceding it, but when the shooting actually started, the markets took off, as the uncertainty of war gave way to the certainty of it.

I suspect it will be same with the election.

Opinions expressed here are author’s alone, are opinion only, and not those of any bank, investment advisory firm or news media company. Nothing stated is meant to insure a guarantee of any kind, or to be construed as individual investment advice. Neither Money Management Radio (“Money Matters”) nor Bay Area Process receive, control, access or monitor client funds, accounts, or portfolios. For a full list of the services Marc Cuniberti provides, please contact him directly. California Insurance License #0L34249. Insurance services offered independently through Marc Cuniberti and not affiliated with any RIA firm or entity. (530)559-1214